South America LED General Lighting Market Forecast 2017-2027

Scheduled Study Release Date:     December 28, 2017

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Study Report Text:                           PDF File – In English

Excel File:                                          Market Forecast Database (2017-2027)

PowerPoint File:                               Summary Data Figures

Delivery:                                             Files sent by E-mail

Information-ORDER this market study -- CONTACT: montgomery@electronicast.com

Web --

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10-Year Market Forecast

Market Research Study – Consultant Service: Description        

Directly managed from our regional office in Lima, Peru – this report provides estimates and forecasts, based on market research study work performed by ElectroniCast Consultants.

The LED-based lighting covered in this study is used in fixtures in stationary/fixed locations (non-vehicle or non-portable) General Lighting applications; the lighting (lamps and PCB/printed circuit boards with driver), which are used in new fixtures or retrofitting/ replacement of existing (installed-based) lighting.

General Lighting Definition – lighting that is used to provide the main illumination of an area. The ElectroniCast definition of General Lighting also includes directional and supplementary lighting.

LEDs are used in both functional and decorative light fixtures, with an advantage of energy savings. Compared to incandescent lighting, LED-based solid-state lighting (SSL) delivers visible light with reduced heat. In addition, its solid-state nature provides for greater resistance to shock, vibration, and wear, thereby significantly increasing its lifespan.

LED Level Quantified in the ElectroniCast Study Below, are four levels (or “food chain”) pertaining to the LED marketplace.  For the purposes of this ElectroniCast study, we quantify and provide a market forecast for “Level 3”

Level 1 - The chip or die

Level 2 - The LED component (packaged LED) or other components

Level 3 – Lamps, complete LED-equipped PCB, or Module

Level 4 – Luminaire (light fixture/lamp holder/including lamp/s)

Market Forecast, by Product Type

This market forecast is presented for eight (8) major product categories.  

Total Consumption: LED Lighting at Summary-Level

• Parabolic aluminized reflector (PAR)

• General Service (A-Type Bulb: A-19/A-21); including filament-type style

• Decorative Types: Candle, Fancy Round; including filament-type style

• Multifaceted reflector (MR) Compatible

• Linear Tube or Other Linear with Embedded Diffuser

• Street / Parking-lot / Campus / Similar (Parks, Walkways)

• High Bay/Flood/Stadium (>= 2500Lm)

• Miscellaneous: Complete LED-equipped PCB with Driver

Market Forecast, by Country          

The market data are segmented into the following county/other sub-region regions; separate data-sheets are provided for the following regions:

·        South America

o       Argentina

o       Brazil

o       Chile  

o       Colombia

o       Ecuador

o       Peru   

o       Venezuela     

o       Combined forecast of the “Other” countries in South America   

Market Forecast, By Function         This report provides the 2017-2027 market data review and forecast by the following functions:

·        Consumption Value

·        Quantity (number/units)

·        Average Selling Prices

The consumption (use) value is determined by multiplying the number of lighting units by the average selling price (ASP) in US Dollars. The average selling prices are not retail prices; the prices are based on the price of the LED product at the initial factory level.  These are the original manufacturer’s (“factory”) prices invoiced to the first (original) customer, or transfer prices for internal (captive) production.

Not Covered – Lighting types not counted in this study report (see below):

·        Vehicles – lighting used in automotive, buses, trains, airplanes, ships, other

• Holiday-Specific Lighting
• Signage, Signals and Digital Display; back-lighting units of monitors/TVs
• Indicator/Instrumentation; Toys; Portable lighting (flashlight/torch, lanterns, etc)
• Professional Task Lighting – Horticultural; Medical/Surgical; Production lighting in Stage/Studio; UV Curing; Other professional task lighting
• OLED or Laser-based lighting

Market Research Methodology

Market analysis and technology forecasting are complex tasks. Any predictions of the shape and trends of technology and economic movement start from the notion that the germ of what will be important tomorrow is present, although smaller or larger or in a different form, in our environment today. However, taking as a basis for a prediction the assumptions of current, conventional belief creates a set of preconceived notions that can lead to serious mistakes. ElectroniCast, instead, looks to the basic driving forces.

Information Base

During the market research process, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED and lighting industry, plus – R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of LED and lighting illumination products. The interviews were conducted principally with:

·        Architectural lighting Designers/Installers concerns, Engineers, marketing personnel and management at manufacturers of LED lighting and related equipment, as well as other lighting technologies.

·        Design group leaders, engineers, marketing personnel and market planners at major users and potential users of LEDs and lighting

·        Other industry experts, including those focused on standards activities, trade associations, government and investments. 

The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.

Bottom-up Methodology     ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data structure, are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research study focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (2017), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.

ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback. 

About ElectroniCast

ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in light emitting diodes used in lighting, as well providing market data on fiber optics communication components and devices,

As an independent consultancy we offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.

ElectroniCast Fee Structure:

ElectroniCast has a one-fee structure –

“Same company/same business group/same country or immediate geographic region"

The ElectroniCast consultant service study report may be used by any employee of the client (subscriber) company/organization at the same country and in the same business group.  Some business groups in the same company may occupy different locations; therefore, different locations are allowed, as long as they are in the same country or immediate region. There is no limit on the number of employees that may use the report (independent contractors on assignment with the client company are not considered eligible and may not use/view the ElectroniCast report - see below).

Proprietary Statement

All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.

ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest.  Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive.  ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.

– Tables of Contents –

1.         Executive Summary                                                                                                 

1.1       Overview – South America Summary-Level Market Forecasts                          

1.2       LED Lamps & Light Fixtures Used in General Lighting                                      

1.3       Unpackaged and Packaged LED Chips Description                                                     

2.         LED General Lighting - South America Market Forecast                                               

2.1       Overview                                                                                                                   

2.2       Argentina                                                      

2.3       Brazil                                                             

2.4       Chile                                      

2.5       Colombia                                          

2.6       Ecuador                                                                                

2.7       Peru                           

2.8       Venezuela                                                                 

2.9       Combined forecast of the “Other” countries in South America                                       

3.         South America LED Lighting: Competitive Analysis/Market Opportunity Analysis

4.         ElectroniCast Market Research Methodology                              

5.         Introduction/Explanation of Excel Worksheets - ElectroniCast Market Forecast         

5.1       Overview                                                                                                                   

5.2       Tutorial of the Excel Worksheets                

6.         Definitions and Standards                                                                                                  

Addendum –

·        Microsoft Excel File

·        PowerPoint Slides File

Cablevisión Argentina and Ciena Deploy 200G Network

Upgrade doubles network capacity to support new cloud-based video services

HANOVER, Md. — 01/18/2017

Cablevisión Argentina is laying the groundwork to meet the surging demands for high-speed internet and video offerings including IPTV Project FLOW, an innovative service that offers Video on Demand, digital video recording and original content to any device connected to the internet. Utilizing Ciena’s (NYSE: CIEN) converged packet optical solutions, the network enhancements will also provide the needed scalable bandwidth to support Cablevisión Argentina’s internet service provider division – Fibertel.

Key Facts:

As Cablevisión Argentina’s customers have migrated from analog cable TV to high-definition digital packages, the demand on its metro network has increased by 50 percent per year. Ciena’s 200G solution adds flexibility and increased capacity to not only meet this demand, but also scale to future-proof Cablevisión Argentina’s network assets.

OTT and multiple screen services like FLOW are driving more traffic to the network and creating new opportunities for unpredictable demands. With Ciena’s 6500 Packet-Optical Platform, the network can react as needed, allowing customers to access the programming they desire. The platform also doubles the capacity of Cablevisión Argentina’s metro network while reducing costs, space and power needs. Additionally, Ciena’s flexible grid photonics allows Cablevisión Argentina to respond to unpredictable traffic demands and seamlessly scale to higher capacity wavelengths, such as 400G, when needed.

With this new 200G metro network, Cablevisión Argentina can quickly and cost efficiently deliver new high-speed services, utilizing the same 6500 platform deployed across its long-haul and regional networks.

Building on a long-standing relationship with Cablevisión Argentina, Ciena is also providing a full range of professional services via its Ciena Specialist Services portfolio.

Executive Comments:

“In order to launch our new IPTV Project Flow and give our customers anytime and anywhere access to the programing they want it was crucial to have the right infrastructure in place. Ciena’s solutions give us the flexibility, scale and confidence to know we can seamlessly deliver this new service to our customers and meet the growing demand for years to come.”

- Guillermo Fiorenza, Head of Transport and Network Solutions at Cablevisión Argentina

“As carriers like Cablevisión Argentina evolve their offerings and introduce new innovative applications, it puts significant pressure on their networks. Our converged packet optical solutions give Cablevisión Argentina a reliable and modernized infrastructure that can keep up with their customers’ growing expectations for the latest on-demand services.”

- Fabio Medina, Vice President of Sales and General Manager, Latin America at Ciena

About Cablevisión Argentina

Cablevisión is a telecommunications company present in 12 provinces and 90 cities all along Argentina. Cablevisión SA is divided into three major business units offering different services. Cablevisión, providing state-of-the-art paid TV services unlike any other in the market; Fibertel, providing high-speed internet services and FiberCorp, which is Fibertel's corporate business unit providing comprehensive solutions in telecommunications to small, medium and large companies. We currently have 3.5 million cable TV customers and more than 2 million broadband customers.

Cablevisión's network covers 50,000 kilometers and it is connected through an urban fiber-optics network extending over more than 12,600 kilometers. The company has also developed and broadened an intercity Backbone of over 9.500 kilometers, which, along with its Core and Metro networks, connects the interior regions of the country. This provided a strong, reliable network enabling the company to provide a variety of services such as Digital TV, High-Definition channels, our Video On Demand platform, and broadband connections reaching 50Mb.

About Ciena

Ciena (NYSE: CIEN) is a network strategy and technology company. We translate best-in-class technology into value through a high-touch, consultative business model – with a relentless drive to create exceptional experiences measured by outcomes. For updates on Ciena, follow us on Twitter @Ciena, LinkedIn, the Ciena Insights blog, or visit www.ciena.com.

ElectroniCast Consultants

Market Forecast Studies

ElectroniCast specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in electronics, fiber optics, light-emitting diodes (LEDs), advanced photonics, integrated circuits, microwave/wireless, and network communications. As an independent consultancy, they offer multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on a comprehensive, in-depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors.

Source: http://www.electronicast.com/

Internet Use in Peru

September 30, 2016

ElectroniCast Office in Lima Peru –

The National Institute of Statistics and Informatics (INEI) revealed its results on a survey conducted from April to June (2016) that 62.1 percent of the population in Peru, 6 years or older, uses the Internet daily.

This represents a 9.4 increase when compared to the same quarter of 2015 (52.7 percent). In addition, 33.2 percent of the population uses the Internet once a week, and 4.8 percent use it once a month or every two months. Both numbers show decreases of 9.2 and 0.2 percentage points respectively.

By gender, 62.7 percent of men and 61.4 percent of women use the Internet once a day.

The study also points out that 89.6 percent and 77.3 percent of the population enrolled in a university and not enrolled, respectively, have greater access to the Internet.

The INEI also reported that of the total population of those 6 years and older using the Internet, 17.6 percent work exclusively on their mobile phones and a similar in proportion (17.6 percent) use their computers.

By area of residence, 50.2 percent of households in metropolitan Lima have Internet access, a 4.6 percentage increase from the same quarter a year before (45.6 percent).

Suburbs increased by 2.5 percentage points, going from 24.9 percent to 27.4 percent, while rural areas did not show any variation in internet access.

AFL Invests in Brazil - Fiber Optics

AFL, a leading provider of fiber optic solutions, is expanding its presence in Brasil. AFL’s effort is largely in response to the rapid growth in Fiber to the Home (FTTH) applications in the country. As part of the support strategy for the region, Tony Medeiros has been appointed as New Technology Consultant and Brasil Representative for AFL. Medeiros’ Head Office is in São Paulo, and he will have the responsibility to represent AFL throughout the country.

Medeiros brings more than 25 years of hands-on fiber optics experience to the role. His specialties include test, turnup, installation and design of optical networks. Medeiros also served as a consultant to the Department of Defense and U.S. Army 571st Signal Brigade for KOTNET operations in South Korea. Medeiros holds a Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering from the Federal University in Rio de Janeiro with postgraduate studies at the University of Connecticut at Storrs.

“In South America, Brasil is truly setting the pace in FTTH deployment. AFL is pleased to be a part of this growth and bring our expertise to new customers in the region,” commented Steve Althoff, EVP and general manager. “Tony has a proven record of using his technical acumen to make a difference in complex projects.”

As part of launching our new presence in the region, AFL is hosting complimentary FTTH Fiber Optic Technology Seminars which are inclusive of utilizing both presentation and hands-on formats. Topics include the following:

• FTTH network topologies
  
• Latest technologies in testing FTTH networks and systems
  
• Overview of how FTTH is being implemented in the USA
  
• Preview of CFHP (Certified Fiber to the Home Planner) prerequisite material

The first seminar was held earlier today in São Paulo. AFL will host a second seminar in Rio de Janeiro at 9 a.m. on 16 August 2012 at the Sheraton Rio. To sign up to attend the seminar in Rio de Janeiro, sign up here.

 
About AFL
AFL provides industry-leading products and services to the electric utility, broadband, communications, OEM, enterprise, wireless and transit rail markets as well as the emerging markets of oil and gas, mining, nuclear, avionics, medical, renewable and intelligent grid. The company’s diverse product portfolio includes fiber optic cable, transmission and substation accessories, outside plant equipment, connectors, fusion splicers, test equipment and training. AFL’s service portfolio includes market-leading positions with the foremost communications companies supporting inside plant central office, EF&I, outside plant, enterprise and wireless areas.

Founded in 1984, AFL is proud to offer engineering expertise, exceptional products and reliable service that help our customers improve their critical and electrical infrastructure. AFL has operations in the U.S., Mexico, Europe and Asia. The company is headquartered in Spartanburg, SC USA, and it is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fujikura Ltd. of Japan. For more information, visit www.AFLglobal.com.


Tony Medeiros
New Technology Consultant and Brasil Representative
Office: +55 11-3539-5090
Cell: +55 11-9-8668-1268
anthony_mfl@msn.com

Fiber Optic Cable from Guantanamo Bay to South Florida

WASHINGTON, July 5 (UPI) -- The U.S. Defense Department wants to install a $40 million underwater fiber-optic cable from Guantanamo Bay to South Florida, an official told The Miami Herald.

The newspaper said the cable, which needs congressional approval, would be a sign the military is preparing for detentions and other operations at the Navy base for the long-term.

"It only makes sense to do if we're going to be here for any period of time," said Navy Capt. Kirk Hibbert, before the end of his two-year term as the base's commander.

Construction wouldn't start for more than a year.

The Herald said the U.S. military has told the Cuban military to expect a U.S. surveyor ship off the base's coastline this summer.

Army Lt. Col. Todd Breasseale said the Defense Information Systems Agency had conducted a feasibility study. The agency put the tentative price of the fiber-optic cable at $40 million, which has been included in the fiscal 2013 budget.

Data delivery for the base, which is home to the war court and the prison camps' intelligence unit, has strained communications through a satellite system and planners looked at whether to expand that system or opt for fiber optics.

Source: United Press International, Inc.

Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/07/05/Fiber-optic-system-eyed-for-Guantanamo-Bay/UPI-30831341537594/#ixzz1zxD7n7iL

GlobeNet and Alcatel-Lucent extend undersea cable link to Colombia

Oi subsidiary GlobeNet and Alcatel-Lucent extend undersea cable link to Colombia to address fast-growing demand for broadband services    100G-capable extension will create a link with direct connectivity between Colombia and the United States, and from Colombia to Venezuela helping GlobeNet meet customer demand and expand its footprint   Paris, June 29, 2012 - GlobeNet, Oi's international subsidiary provider of submarine capacity, and  Alcatel-Lucent (Euronext Paris and NYSE: ALU) have signed a contract to extend the GlobeNet submarine cable system to Colombia, supporting the exploding demand for broadband services between Colombia, the United States, and other Latin American countries. This 100 Gigabit per second (100G) capable link will help GlobeNet provide a significant increase in capacity to support the deployment of next-generation wireless services and support the exploding demand for broadband services such as streaming media, online gaming, high-definition video and social media applications. This 1000km extension will create a link with direct connectivity between Colombia and the United States, and between Colombia and Venezuela. It will have a state-of-the-art design that provides the capability of supporting a future ultimate design capacity in excess of 8 Tbit/s on each connectivity path. The GlobeNet submarine cable system currently spans 22,000 kilometers with landing points in Rio de Janeiro and Fortaleza in Brazil, Maiquetía in Venezuela, St. David’s in Bermuda, Boca Raton Florida and Tuckerton in New Jersey, United States. With this extension which will land in Colombia’s Atlantic coast, GlobeNet further positions to offer ultra-fast low latency services on both protected routes between the United States and Latin America. Erick W. Contag, Chief Operating Officer at GlobeNet, said: “GlobeNet is committed to meeting the need for high-quality capacity to offer an improved experience for all of our customers. Our collaboration with Alcatel-Lucent is based on our confidence in the low latency, reliability and speed of their solution, as well as their ability to seamlessly and efficiently introduce this extension to Colombia while maintaining all our existing network services.” Philippe Dumont, President Alcatel-Lucent Submarine Networks, said: “We arepleased to be selected by GlobeNetto expand their network and deliver the capacity to support the hunger for exciting new applications and services to Colombia. This project further highlights our leadership in the development of powerful, cost-effective submarine networks, and the importance Alcatel-Lucent plays in realizing the potential of a connected world, keeping customers’ costs in check” The Alcatel-Lucent solution deployed for this project includes an integrated 100G capable wet plant of cable and high bandwidth repeaters, power feed equipment, and its 1620 Light Manager (LM) submarine line terminal equipped with advanced coherent technology and offering unique flexibility to increase direct connectivity between countries. Designed to accommodate 10G/40G/100G wavelengths in the same platform, the Alcatel-Lucent 1620 LM enables seamless capacity upgrade on flexible grid for channel spacing without traffic interruption. About GlobeNet GlobeNet provides International capacity between North and South America over a dual ring-protected submarine cable system serving Brazil, Bermuda, Colombia, the U.S.A., and Venezuela. Covering a distance of more than 22,000 kilometers, this sophisticated submarine cable network system is fully redundant and offers the lowest latency available between the Americas. The network links cable landing stations in Tuckerton, NJ and Boca Raton, FL, USA, with cable landing stations in Fortaleza (CE) and Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brazil, St. David’s, Bermuda as well as Maiquetía (Caracas) Venezuela. GlobeNet is a wholly owned subsidiary of Brazilian full-service telecommunications provider Oi. About Oi Oi is a pioneer company in the provision of bundled services in Brazil. A Oi offers local and long-distance voice transmission, mobile telephony, broadband and pay TV.  In March 2012, the company had 70,8 million revenue generating units (RGUs). This total includes 44.1 million in personal mobile segment, 18.6 million in residential segment and 8.1 million in business/corporate segment. For the fourth consecutive year, Oi is part of the ISE - Corporate Sustainability Index portfolio of the BM&F BOVESPA, reflecting the company’s commitment to social responsibility and corporate sustainability. For the second consecutive year, Oi is also part of the IC02 — Carbon Efficiency Index — of the BM&F Bovespa. About Alcatel-Lucent (Euronext Paris and NYSE: ALU) The long-trusted partner of service providers, enterprises and governments around the world, Alcatel-Lucent is a leading innovator in the field of networking and communications technology, products and services. The company is home to Bell Labs, one of the world's foremost research centers, responsible for breakthroughs that have shaped the networking and communications industry. Alcatel-Lucent was named one of MIT Technology Review's 2012 Top 50 list of the "World's Most Innovative Companies" for breakthroughs such as lightRadio™, which cuts power consumption and operating costs on wireless networks while delivering lightning fast Internet access. Through such innovations, Alcatel-Lucent is making communications more sustainable, more affordable and more accessible as we pursue our mission - Realizing the Potential of a Connected World. With operations in more than 130 countries and one of the most experienced global services organizations in the industry, Alcatel-Lucent is a local partner with global reach. The Company achieved revenues of Euro 15.3 billion in 2011 and is incorporated in France and headquartered in Paris. For more information, visit Alcatel-Lucent on: http://www.alcatel-lucent.com, read the latest posts on the Alcatel-Lucent blog: http://www.alcatel-lucent.com/blog and follow the Company on Twitter: http://twitter.com/Alcatel_Lucent.